Saturday, September 8, 2012

Houston at Cincinnati 7:10 p.m. ET

A rare blown save by Aroldis Chapman continued a slightly frustrating stretch for the Cincinnati Reds. 

Fortunately for them, wins are common with Bronson Arroyo on the mound recently. 

Arroyo looks to win his fifth straight decision Saturday night when the Reds continue their series against the visiting Houston Astros. 

Despite losing two of the last three meetings, Cincinnati is still 9-4 against Houston this year. The Reds haven't lost three straight overall since a five-game skid Aug. 5-9. 

Cincinnati has to feel good with Arroyo (11-7, 3.76 ERA) on the mound, especially since he's posted a 0.84 ERA in winning his last four home starts against the Astros. 

Arroyo didn't receive a decision Sunday in a 5-3 win at Houston after surrendering one run and three hits over six innings. He had won his previous four starts with a 2.86 ERA. 

The right-hander is 7-1 over his last nine outings, eight of which the Reds have won. 

Cincinnati will try to provide him with some support after averaging 2.5 runs in six games this month while hitting .179 (7 for 39) with runners in scoring position. 

However, the Reds could be short-handed again Saturday. Scott Rolen and Zack Cozart sat out Friday with back injuries while Drew Stubbs, who is hitting .143 over his last 12 games, was given the night off. 

Houston (43-95) will try to win its second road series of the season and first since taking two of three from the Chicago White Sox in June. Justin Maxwell also homered Friday, his second in four games after failing to go deep in his previous 17 contests. 

Bud Norris (5-11, 4.80) would certainly appreciate the support as he tries to end a 16-start winless streak. He's 0-10 with a 5.90 ERA since beating the Cubs on May 21. 

Norris did not receive a decision opposite Arroyo on Sunday despite striking out six over six scoreless innings while scattering three hits. The Astros have averaged 2.2 runs in his last 16 starts. 

The right-hander has failed to earn a win versus Cincinnati this season despite posting a 0.69 ERA in two matchups - both losses for Houston. He was 0-2 with a 7.23 ERA over his first four starts against the Reds. 


Astros are 9-42 in their last 51 games as a road underdog.
Astros are 11-52 in their last 63 overall.
Astros are 1-15 in Norris' last 16 starts.
Astros are 0-9 in Norris' last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.


Reds are 6-0 in Arroyos last 6 starts as a favorite.
Reds are 5-0 in Arroyos last 5 starts with 5 days of rest.
Reds are 5-0 in Arroyos last 5 starts.
Reds are 4-1 in Arroyos last 5 home starts.

No need in beating a dead horse with similar trends from yesterday's game. Now what we should look at is the pitchers. Arroyo is certainly the master in this match-up and he has been so solid. One thing that sticks out huge to me is the road starts by Norris. He is 7.27 ERA and a 1.731 WHIP. This should concern any Astros fan today. Arroyo is a stud plain and simple. I think he will be again today. Take the Reds today on the 1st half and the RL. Good Luck

1H CIN REDS -½-140
CIN REDS -1½-105





Follow me on Twitter @LSUSports1





No comments:

Post a Comment