10/19 MLB

Say what you will but i'm not so certain the STL -160 play is the way to go. Yes STL is at home and they are hot, but consider what happens to a good team, playing well, when they get pushed into a corner. They scratch and claw until the end. I expect nothing less from SFG tonight. Look at what they've dont thus far when behind. Not so bad huh...

I base most of my plays on trends and the rest on situations. Sometimes the situation will motivate a team and they will get results that contradict all odds....or they may just follow the trends that are there. Play-offs are crazy, especially this year. Tonight i think SFG not only is in a situation requiring them to win but some nice trends that are in their favor. With the combination of both, i think this may be the best value play we've see so far in the post-season. I hope i'm right...check this out. 

BARRY ZITO is 14-2 (+14.9 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season this season.

BARRY ZITO is 8-1 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season. 

BARRY ZITO is 14-3 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season. 

BARRY ZITO is 21-8 (+16.6 Units) against the money line vs. teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. 

BARRY ZITO is 19-13 (+19 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +150 to +200 since 1997. 

BARRY ZITO is 7-0 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games in October games since 1997. 

BARRY ZITO is 11-5 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.

Using the money line in road games after a loss SAN FRANCISCO's record is 26 Wins and 11 Losses this season (+19.00 units) 

Using the money line in road games at night SAN FRANCISCO's record is 32 Wins and 19 Losses this season (+16.55 units) 

I simply feel the right play here tonight is the Giants. NO they are not in the same, or even similar situation as the Yankees were. NYY were done before the series started...so dont even go there. The Giants are still in great shape....maybe not to win the series but a win tonight is very likely in my opinion. Good Luck.

SFO GIANTS +150

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