He'll try to improve on a 1-7 mark against the Indians, who could have Travis Hafner available Wednesday in the finale of a three-game set against the Los Angeles Angels at Progressive Field.
Cleveland (41-39) has given Santana (4-8, 5.12 ERA) problems over the years. He has a 4.13 ERA in 12 starts against the Indians, although he is 1-1 with a 2.39 ERA over five outings over the last three seasons against them.
Santana allowed five runs over five-plus innings and did not get a decision Friday in a 7-5 defeat at Toronto to fall to 2-3 with a 6.13 ERA in eight road starts this year for one of baseball's worst ERAs away from home. One of his better efforts on the road, however, came in Cleveland on April 29 when he yielded two runs over seven innings in a 4-0 defeat as he was outpitched by Derek Lowe.
Although Santana has struggled to defeat the Indians, many of their hitters have fared poorly against him. Jose Lopez is 12 for 54, Hafner 4 for 29 with 11 strikeouts, Johnny Damon 5 for 26, Asdrubal Cabrera 3 for 23, Jack Hannahan 3 for 16 and Casey Kotchman 3 for 15.
Hafner's history against Santana may make this a bad time for him to see his first action since May 23. He was out due to right knee inflammation, and manager Manny Acta said Hafner could be activated for this game.
The slugger went 1 for 10 in three games with Triple-A Columbus in a rehab stint.
"It's just a matter of trying to get your timing," Hafner told the Indians' official website. "(The knee) is doing good. Overall, it's good. There's a little bit of soreness off and on maybe running, but that's pretty normal."
Lowe (7-6, 4.42) will once again be Santana's mound opponent after giving up three hits over 7 2-3 innings in the earlier meeting. He's 4-0 with a 1.08 ERA in five home starts against AL foes.
The right-hander, however, owns a major league-worst .310 opponent batting average. He's 0-3 with a 7.71 ERA in his last five outings, leaving without a decision Friday after allowing seven runs over 5 1-3 innings in a 9-8 defeat at Baltimore.
Albert Pujols went 0 for 3 against Lowe in April, but he's 10 for 31 with a homer against him in his career. This is also a good matchup for Maicer Izturis, who is 8 for 17.
Pujols homered for the first time in five games against Cleveland in Tuesday's 9-5 defeat. Los Angeles (45-36) got good news when All-Star center fielder Mike Trout homered and had three RBIs in his return after the rookie missed Monday's 3-0 victory with a jammed right pinky.
Lopez continued his surge with three hits Tuesday. He's 10 for 17 in his last four starts - all victories for Cleveland.
The Indians are 3-2 in the season series, with their bullpen yielding two hits over 9 1-3 scoreless innings.
Situation Trends Favoring Indians
| Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more. (166-104 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.5%, +54.4 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play Against - Road teams (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more. (209-105 over the last 5 seasons.) (66.6%, +67.5 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 8 runs or more. (120-68 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.8%, +44.4 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play Against - Road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.7 runs/game on the season (AL), after allowing 9 runs or more. (87-39 over the last 5 seasons.) (69%, +44.7 units. Rating = 3*) |
| Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CLEVELAND) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (AL), after scoring 8 runs or more. (53-31 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.1%, +31.4 units. Rating = 3*) |
| Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (LA ANGELS) - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games. (60-27 since 1997.) (69%, +31.2 units. Rating = 3*) |
| Play On - Home teams (CLEVELAND) - with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts. (47-29 since 1997.) (61.8%, +29.4 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.20 to 4.70 on the season (AL), with a hot bullpen whose WHIP is under 1.250 the last 15 games. (67-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.7%, +34.7 units. Rating = 3*) |
| Play Against - Any team (LA ANGELS) - revenging a loss vs opponent as a road favorite, a good team (54% to 62%) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 54%). (54-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (62.8%, +30.1 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play Against - Any team (LA ANGELS) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -AL, hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 10 games. (41-22 since 1997.) (65.1%, +25.5 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play On - Home teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CLEVELAND) - with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 3 starts. (66-43 over the last 5 seasons.) (60.6%, +22.8 units. Rating = 1*) |
Situation Trends Favoring Angels
| Play On - Any team (LA ANGELS) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 on the season (AL), stranding 6.9 or less runners on base per game on the season. (182-145 over the last 5 seasons.) (55.7%, +51.5 units. Rating = 2*) |
| Play Against - Any team (CLEVELAND) - red hot hitting team - batting .333 or better over their last 5 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts. (35-11 since 1997.) (76.1%, +24.5 units. Rating = 3*) |
| Play Against - Any team (CLEVELAND) - hot hitting team - batting .315 or better over their last 5 games, after 2 straight games where the bullpen gave up no earned runs. (122-89 over the last 5 seasons.) (57.8%, +46.3 units. Rating = 2*) |
Recent Trends
- Over is 7-1-1 in LAA last 9 overall.
- Over is 7-1-1 in LAA last 9 on grass.
- Over is 7-1-1 in LAA last 9 games as a favorite.
- CLE are 4-9 in their last 13 games as an underdog.
- CLE are 26-54 in their last 80 Wed. games.
- Under is 9-0 in Santanas last 9 starts vs. CLE.
- LAA are 3-9 in Santanas last 12 starts vs. CLE.
As much as i love Santana and the Angels to win today i know the trends are against us. The one thing that is on our side is the fact that Derek Lowe is pitching back to back in a triple down situation while Santana is pitching Physically high. I believe this is the key to a win today.
Today i am playing the following plays for this game.
1H LA ANGELS -115
LA ANGELS -112
Follow me on Twitter @LSUSports1
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