Tuesday, July 3, 2012

Cubs at Braves

Cubs at Braves

Stats/Trends to Consider


 - Home teams (ATLANTA) - with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.750 or worse on the season-NL, in July games.
(69-40 since 1997.) (63.3%, +38.1 units. Rating = 3*)
 - Any team (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a horrible starting pitcher (ERA >=5.50, WHIP>=1.650) -NL, with an average bullpen whose ERA is 3.75 to 4.50 on the season.
(30-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +21.6 units. Rating = 3*)

 - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ATLANTA) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts.
(197-248 since 1997.) (44.3%, +103.7 units. Rating = 3*)
 - Home favorites with a money line of -150 or more (ATLANTA) - starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings against opponent with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts.
(152-175 since 1997.) (46.5%, +101.9 units. Rating = 3*)
 - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.3 runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games.
(148-152 over the last 5 seasons.) (49.3%, +55.3 units. Rating = 2*)
 - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.3 runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games.
(50-49 over the last 5 seasons.) (50.5%, +42.2 units. Rating = 3*)
 - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (CHICAGO CUBS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season.
(70-54 over the last 5 seasons.) (56.5%, +48.2 units. Rating = 3*)
 - Any team (CHICAGO CUBS) - after 2 or more consecutive wins, terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season.
(85-63 over the last 5 seasons.) (57.4%, +52.3 units. Rating = 3*)
 - All underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (CHICAGO CUBS) - poor offensive team - scoring <=4.3 runs/game on the season (NL), after scoring 4 runs or less 5 straight games.
(23-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (54.8%, +25.7 units. Rating = 2*)


HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
Games over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 8-9 (+2.2 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
10 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)
Games this season
CHICAGO CUBS is 3-1 (+3.0 Units) against ATLANTA this season
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

All games at ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO CUBS is 4-3 (+3.5 Units) against ATLANTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)
Games played at ATLANTA this season.
CHICAGO CUBS is 1-0 (+1.9 Units) against ATLANTA this season
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.0 Units)






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